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WELCOME TO THE NEW AND IMPROVED INTELLIGENCE QUARTERLY

April 7th, 2022
Joseph Wang

The Great Steepening from the Fed’s QT

The QT Plan The Fed’s March minutes sketched out a plan for QT that was as aggressive as promised. The maximum monthly redemption cap this time around will be $95b, almost double the $50b cap from the prior QT. It will be split between $60b in Treasuries and $35b in Agency MBS, with some potential […]


April 3rd, 2022
Giovanni Battista Ponzetto

Brother can you spare a rouble?

This week has been dominated by the back and forth about Russia asking to be paid in Roubles for Energy imports by European Union clients. I was told about the “Roubles” thing late in the previous week at lunch by a friend, who is one of those understandably forlorn Italians who thought Putin was much […]


February 17th, 2022
Giovanni Battista Ponzetto

Good intentions and digital currencies

Is a Northern Rock lurking below the surface? Why I think that not only Central Bankers WILL push hard for CBDC, but also why their coy pretending that “we won’t access data” or “we’ll protect people’s right to use their money as they please”  as matters stand now  looks like pure hogwash. Central Bank Digital […]


February 2nd, 2022
Velina Tchakarova

What to expect from the summit between Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin?

Velina is Director of the Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES) in Vienna. www.velinatchakarova.com Since it has become clear that the US will not intervene militarily in a possible war between Russia and Ukraine, China and Russia anticipate a likely American retreat from the old continent in the long run in order to focus […]


December 26th, 2021
The Editorial Team

Learning to love the nukes, the sequel

Guest piece by Giovanni Ponzetto This is a sequel to “ LEARNING TO LOVE THE BOMB “ On December 21, we were able to mark the calendar for a significant event: Finnish Olkiluoto 3 Nuclear power plant reached first criticality. This is significant since its close relative in Flamanville has been pushed to 2024 . […]


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